Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 6.524332 7.600386 8.763415 10.109612 11.620466 13.259319 15.166879
2026-02-01 4.846588 6.227872 7.838169 9.837753 12.236604 15.003879 18.418289
2026-02-08 3.834986 5.327180 7.172663 9.589858 12.636159 16.309805 21.032807
2026-02-15 3.092787 4.605748 6.576839 9.279857 12.830768 17.272957 23.178128
2026-02-22 2.665152 4.217719 6.333268 9.349293 13.450465 18.737311 25.957375
2026-03-01 2.313868 3.877542 6.099107 9.380816 13.984061 20.078431 28.600685
2026-03-08 2.039200 3.606455 5.921387 9.454150 14.550561 21.460261 31.326825
2026-03-15 1.792916 3.342514 5.719131 9.460331 15.001830 22.683125 33.864970
2026-03-22 1.643546 3.211553 5.697645 9.718378 15.810800 24.416538 37.149885
2026-03-29 1.501025 3.072004 5.644813 9.915473 16.528173 26.036608 40.322049
2026-04-05 1.347649 2.892679 5.507943 9.964286 17.014883 27.332811 43.068262
2026-04-12 1.153587 2.612989 5.176166 9.671750 16.953666 27.814578 44.646364
2026-04-19 0.993701 2.376877 4.897626 9.446745 16.986533 28.440760 46.468059
2026-04-26 0.850822 2.152647 4.616135 9.191169 16.948826 28.949291 48.123240
2026-05-03 0.730386 1.955201 4.361231 8.956759 16.923229 29.462752 49.788143
2026-05-10 0.619451 1.759483 4.087520 8.663656 16.775860 29.769376 51.134587
2026-05-17 0.561449 1.673633 4.016862 8.729299 17.231499 31.036495 53.990043
2026-05-24 0.506205 1.585239 3.931534 8.759102 17.622257 32.207559 56.724127
2026-05-31 0.460478 1.512586 3.870602 8.828437 18.081195 33.499459 59.679811
2026-06-07 0.414205 1.430537 3.781069 8.834282 18.423868 34.607223 62.368359
2026-06-14 0.390882 1.405716 3.812449 9.078305 19.203345 36.460264 66.298626
2026-06-21 0.365129 1.369919 3.815713 9.264733 19.883275 38.164289 70.028161
2026-06-28 0.332206 1.307735 3.752791 9.310910 20.303522 39.438850 73.086069